What betting markets are available? The betting markets for the UEFA Nations have opened for Ante-post betting for the tournament winner and the group winners in each league. The odds for the “Matchday 1” fixtures to be held on the 7th, 8th and 9th of September have also become available with hundreds of lines on standard individual match betting markets.
Please find below fixtures, groups and odds with tips and recommendations for betting on this tournament.
*recommended
Please note that the odds lisetd are not exact and may change due to fluctuations in betting behavior and for other reasons.
Outright Betting
The markets have opened with Spain as favorites @ 4.33, Belgium @ 4.50 as second favorites and France @ 5.50 as third favorites, the rest are:
Germany @ 6.50
England and *Italy are both @ 9.00
Croatia @ 15.00, *Portugal @ 17.00, Switzerland @ 26.00
Holland @ 34.00, Poland @ 41.00, Iceland @ 67.00
Reasoning - Teams that qualify have true odds of one in 25% or 3/1 or 4.00 to win the tournament so Italy at 9.00 is value, Portugal are in the same group as Italy and so 17.00 is also good value because if you bet on Italy and Portugal and either team wins the group you would automatically have far better odds than you would get after they qualified.
Group Betting
League A Group Betting
Group 1 Germany @ 1.91, *France @ 2.20 and Holland @ 8.00
Group 2 *Belgium @ 1.50, Switzerland @ 2.87 and Iceland @ 11.00
Group 3 *Italy @ 1.83, Portugal @ 2.50 and Poland @ 6.50
Group 4 *Spain @ 1.61, England @ 3.00 and *Croatia @ 7.00
Reasoning - The true odds for each team to qualify is 33% or 2/1 or 3.00 so Holland, Iceland, Poland and Croatia are all good value bets but Croatia @ 7.00 are clearly the best value of the four teams based on their recent World Cup performances.
A treble of Belgium, Italy and Spain to all win their groups is @ 4.42
A double of France (World Champions) and Croatia (World Cup Finalists) to both win their groups is @ 15.40
League B Group Betting
Group 1 Ukraine @ 2.50 *Czech Republic @ 2.75 and Slovakia @ 3.00
Group 2 Russia @ 2.50, *Sweden @ 2.50 and Turkey @ 3.25
Group 3 *Austria @ 2.10, Bosnia and Herzegovina @ 2.20 and **Northern Ireland @ 6.00
Group 4 *Denmark @ 2.20, Wales @ 2.87 and *Republic of Ireland @ 3.40
Reasoning - Possibly the most difficult league to predict with each group containing two evenly matched teams so we have chosen our picks based on history.
Northern Ireland are a stand out bet @ 6.00 – they are a good team.
We also like the possibility of an Irish Double - Both Irish teams to win their groups double is @ 20.40
League C Group Betting
Group 1 Israel @ 2.50, *Scotland @ 2.62 and Albania @ 3.00
Group 2 Greece @ 2.10, *Finland @ 3.00, Hungary @ 5.50 and Estonia @ 9.00
Group 3 *Norway @ 3.00, Slovenia 3.00, Bulgaria @ 3.25 and Cyprus @ 7.00
Group 4, *Serbia @ 1.91, Romania @ 3.25, Montenegro @ 4.33 and Lithuania @ 15.00
Reasoning - We feel Scotland are on the up and are strong at home so if they can get a result in Israel they have a fair chance while Finland have a good outside chance and it’s a coin toss between Norway and Slovenia while Serbia should be fine so an (admittedly cheeky) fourfold of Scotland, Finland, Norway and Serbia to all win is very healthy @ 45.04
League D Group Betting
Group 1 *Georgia @ 1.57, Kazakhstan @ 3.75 and Latvia @ 5.50 and Andorra @ 26.00
Group 2 *Belarus @ 1.73, Moldova @ 3.00, Luxemburg @ 6.50 and San Marino @ 26.00
Group 3 *Azerbaijan @ 2.10, Kosovo @ 2.75, *Faroe Islands @ 7.00 and Malta @ 9.00
Group 4 *FYR Macedonia @ 1.57, Armenia @ 2.87, Liechtenstein @ 11.00 and Gibraltar @ 21.00
Reasoning - We think the bookies have got these worked out pretty well. The Faroe Islands has been recommended by us since to cause an upset of sorts since we had a massive bet on Scotland to beat them away about 15 years ago but The Faroe Islands led 2-0 at half-time, luckily we managed to salvage most of the initial bet back by gambling on Scotland winning the second half – it ended a 2-2 draw.
Matchday 1 Fixtures – Friday 7th to Sunday 9th September 2018
League 1
Germany @ 2.25 vs France @ 2.90 Draw @ 3.20
*Italy @ 1.80 vs Poland @ 4.33 Draw @ 3.20
Switzerland @ 1.80 vs Iceland @ 4.40 Draw 3.20
England @ 2.50 vs *Spain @ 2.62 Draw @ 3.10
Reasoning - Italy are so dominant at home and Spain are England’s nemesis.
League 2
Wales @ 2.00 vs Republic of Ireland @ 3.30 *Draw @ 3.10
Czech Republic @ 2.10 vs Ukraine @ 3.10 Draw @ 3.10
Turkey @ 2.25 vs Russia @ 2.90 Draw @ 3.00
*Northern Ireland @ 2.60 vs Bosnia @ 2.62 Draw @ 2.80
Reasoning - We’ve tipped Northern Ireland to do well in the group so have to back them here while Wales and Republic of Ireland are pretty evenly matched. A Wales win by 1 goal maybe a good insurance bet over the draw or vice versa.
League 3
Slovenia @ 2.00 vs Bulgaria @ 3.60 Draw @ 3.10
Norway @ 1.36 vs Cyprus @ 7.00 Draw @ 4.33
Lithuania @ 4.75 vs Serbia @ 1.61 Draw @ 3.70
Romania @ 1.80 vs Montenegro @ 4.00 Draw @ 2.40
Albania @ 2.10 vs *Israel @ 3.40 Draw @ 3.00
*Finland @ 2.25 vs Hungary @ 3.00 Draw @ 3.10
Estonia @ 3.80 vs Greece @ 1.91 Draw @ 3.20
Reasoning - We’ve backed Finland to win the group so we have to back them here and Israel are maybe just a little too strong for Albania.
League 4
Kazakhstan @ 2.45 vs Georgia @ 2.87 Draw @ 2.90
Latvia @ 1.25 vs Andorra @ 11.00 Draw @ 4.75
Azerbaijan @ 1.80 vs *Kosovo @ 4.20 Draw @ 3.25
Luxemburg @ 2.70 vs Moldova @ 2.60 Draw @ 2.90
Reasoning - Kosovo are 2.75 to win the group but 4.20 to win this game so the bookmakers are saying it is more likely they will win the group than this fixture! To get more value on Latvia we recommend a Double Result – Latvia win at half time and win the match @ 1.85
Final Word
This tournament was designed to make international games more competitive and more entertaining so the gambling opportunities are more interesting with more markets on offer on each individual match.
Of course you can also try accumulators too. Good luck!
