The new F1 2019 season starts on Friday 15th, March in Melbourne, Australia with two practice sessions, then on Saturday 16th with a final practice session in the morning followed by qualifying in the evening - qualifying starts at 5 p.m. (Melbourne time) and the race starts at 4.10 p.m. (Melbourne time) on Sunday 17th.
There are 21 races this year with the season finishing in Abu Dhabi at the Yas Marinas circuit on Sunday, December 1st.
The Ante-Post Markets
There are three main markets available at most good online bookmakers this year. They are:
The World Driver’s Championship
The Constructor’s Championship
Season Match Bets
Other markets available include:
Race Win Specials
Team Specials
The World Driver’s Championship
There are two “favorites”, two “outsiders” and the rest of the market is made up of “long-shots”:
The favorites are:
Lewis Hamilton (Mercedes) @ 2.10
Sebastian Vettel (Ferrari) @ 2.87
The two outsiders are:
Charles Leclerc @ 5.50
Max Verstappen (Red Bull) @ 10.00
The long shots are:
Valtteri Bottas (Mercedes) @ 23.00
Pierre Gasly @ 51.00
Daniel Ricciardo (Red Bull) @ 81.00
Kimi Raikkonnen (Ferrari) @ 101.00
to
Alexander Albion @ 1001.00
The situation
Lewis Hamilton and Mercedes
Lewis Hamilton won the World Championship for the 5th time in 2018 equalling the Argentinian Fangio’s record of 5 World Championship wins after Ferrari and Vettel made a catalogue of errors while in control of the first half of last season while Verstappen showed his inexperience by handing him a “free” victory in Brazil. Hamilton may not be so “lucky” this year and has already expressed concern that after testing the Ferraris maybe about 0.5 seconds quicker than Mercedes.
Mercedes are looking to win their 5th Constructor’s Championship in a row which would be a new record in the modern era as no team since the 1950s has won five constructor’s championships in a row. Mercedes have said that the improvements they have made to the car this year are designed to reduce tyre wear which caused them problems last year at more than a few circuits.
Sebastian Vettel, Charles Leclerc and Ferrari
Sebastian Vettel led the 2017 World Championship from the first race in Australia until September when his own errors and Ferrari’s reliability and team errors allowed Mercedes and Hamilton to win. Pretty much the same thing happened in 2018. Both he, and Ferrari, are determined to not let that happen this year - especially with the super signing of Charles Leclerc. In addition to Ferrari making a statement at testing with the general opinion that they have the fastest car, Charles Leclerc made his debut season last season in the Sauber and destroyed his team mate and showed tremendous ability. He is going to be putting huge pressure on Vettel and as we all know by now - Vettel doesn’t do so well when under pressure.
Max Verstappen and Red Bull
Max Verstappen had problems early in the season in 2018 because he let himself down but he was very strong at the end of the season after winning in Austria and won the Mexican race easily and should have had a third victory at Brazil. There is no doubt he is fast and is showing more maturity of late but can the Red Bull with its new Honda engine provide the power and the reliability they desperately crave having become tired of Renault’s faults over the past two seasons?
Recommend bets are:
Charles Leclerc to win @ 5.50 - 20 points
Max Verstappen to win @ 10.00 - 10 points
The Constructor’s Championship
Which team will win the Championship?
The market is:
Mercedes @ 1.91
Ferrari @ 2.37
Red Bull @ 6.50
Renault @ 151.00
Mclaren @ 201.00
Racing Point @ 251.00
Alfa Romeo Racing @ 301.00
Haas @ 301.00
Torro Rosso @ 501.00
Williams @ 501
Recommended Bet:
Ferrari - Max points you can afford to bet.
Season Match Bets
This market is where the bookmakers select drivers and match them and you choose which driver will have more points than the other driver at the end of the season. This is a great market for accumulator bets.
Different bookmakers offer different driver matches, some match team-mates and others match different team’s drivers so look around to find value.
For example:
Daniel Ricciardo (Renault) @ 1.22 vs Kevin Magnussen (Renault) @ 4.00
Lewis Hamilton (Mercedes) @ 1.40 vs Sebastian Vettel (Ferrari) @ 2.20
Race Win Specials
This market is where you choose how many races the driver will win - over / under, again different markets will have different over and under odds so look around.
Here are some examples:
Lewis Hamilton (Mercedes) Over 7.5 @ 1.91 Under 7.5 @ 1.91
Sebastian Vettel (Ferrari) Over 5.5 @ 1.91 Under 5.5 @ 1.91
Max Verstappen (Red Bull) Over 2.5 @ 1.53 Under 2.5 @ 2.38
Paul Ricciardo (Renault) Over 2.5 @ 1.950 Under 2.5 @ 1.80
Valtteri Bottas (Mercedes) Over 2.5 @ 1.72 Under 2.5 @ 2.00
Recommended:
Lewis Hamilton Under
Max Verstappen Over
Paul Riccardo Under
Valtteri Bottas Under
Selected Specials
Most on-line bookers offer #My odds specials, this is where punters request bets and the bookmakers offer odds and make them available to bet on. Here are some selections we recommend:
George Russell (Williams) to score more Championship points than Robert Kubica (Williams) @ 2.20 (William Hill)
Daniel Ricciardo to have a podium and Renault to finish 4th in the Constructor’s Championship @ 3.75 (William Hill)
Charles Leclerc to win the first race (Australia), the Driver’s Championship and the Constructor’s Championship in 2019 @ 26.00 (William Hill)
Final Word
We tried to place “double” bets of - Charles Leclerc to win the World Championship and Ferrari to win the Constructor’s Championship but of the bookmakers we tried they would not allow this double bet but it may be possible to find combination type bets in “specials” as quoted above.
Please note that the odds will not change much after the first race but the first race can give you some idea of which teams may do better - especially the smaller teams, you can use this information to find value “points” scored or “points” finishes for individual race betting.
The odds will start to move after the second race and after the third you may see a significant change in the odds from the ante-post markets.
Good luck and enjoy betting on F1 in the 2019 season!