American Football

NFL 2018/19 betting overview - Ante-post betting tips, and recommended bets

American Football Betting Guide

The NFL 2018/19 or Super Bowl LIII (53) season kicks off on Thursday 6th September with the Atlanta Falcons visiting last year’s Super Bowl winners Philadelphia Eagles. There are no fixtures on the Saturday, thirteen fixtures are scheduled on Sunday 9th with two more on Monday 10th.

As per every year there are many ante-post markets, in season markets and individual match betting markets. Please see below for market information, betting tips and advice and recommended bets for this season’s NFL.

Note: Odds are not fixed and may change due to gambling trends and markets

*Recommended bet

To Win Outright – ½ a place 1,2

superbowl53 outright winner
(From William Hill on 5th Sep)

As always we start with the win outright market and it is no surprise to anybody to see last season’s Super Bowl finalists the *New England Patriots (five championships – five losses) opening the sportsbooks as clear favorites @ 6.50, followed by a repeat of last year’s feat by the Philadelphia Eagles (1 championship – one loss) @ 10.00 and the third favorites are the *Pittsburgh Steelers (six championships – two losses) @ 11.00.

The rest of the market follows:

Conference Winner

Which team will win their respective Conference Outright? (or) Who will with the AFC Championship and who will win the NFC Championship?

NFC teams, prices and recommended bets

AFC teams, prices and recommended bets

Division Winner

Which team will win their division?

Note: Some bookmakers also offer markets for who will finish 2nd, 3rd and 4th in each division.

NFC West

NFC East

NFC North

NFC South

AFC West

AFC East

AFC North

AFC South

Regular Season Wins

In this market the bookmakers select a number and you gamble on if the team will win over or under the specified amount of games in the regular season (that is the 16 games played to qualify or the play-offs).

For example, Philadelphia Eagles regular season wins – “10” – Under @ 1.77 Over @ 2.10

To make Playoffs

This is again a simple Yes / No bet – Will Team A make the playoffs?

For example, Arizona Cardinals NO @ 1.07 Yes @ 8.50

Regular Season MVP

This a standard bet for individual players – it is similar to “Season Top Goal Scorer” in soccer betting. MVP means “Most Valuable Player” where stats are kept and points awarded for such things as passing, receiving, scoring, blocking, sacking etc. The player with the most points wins the MVP award. Generally, quarterbacks are favorite with this year’s favorite being Aaron Rodgers (Green Bay Packer) @ 6.50

Defensive Player of the year, Defensive Rookie of the year and Offensive Rookie of the year

Exactly the same as MVP betting markets but for different awards. If you have good knowledge of the game and follow NFL closely you can find great value in these markets, and also be aware that the favorites are just as likely as outsiders to be injury prone or to be targeted more and therefore get injured which affects their overall points at the end of the season.

Come Back Player of the year

This is awarded to a player that suffered a severe injury, poor form or adversity in the previous season and is chosen as highly improved this season. The winner is usually a quarterback or a running back.

Most Regular Season Passing yards, Most Regular Season Rushing yards and Most Regular Season Receiving yards
Exactly the same as player of the year awards markets but these are for yardage stats per individual players.

Passing Yards*Tom Brady (New England Patriots) @ 6.00
Rushing Yards*Le’Veon Bell (Pittsburgh Steelers) @ 6.50
Receiving Yards*Odell Beckham Jr. (New York Giants) @ 11.00

*No Bet

Final Word

As you can see, we sometimes choose three or four teams in some markets, these are simply recommendations that we would choose from for singles or doubles or accumulator bets, of course only one team can win so we narrow down our selections to who we believe has a chance and then choose from that narrowed down list or/and use those teams to place cover bets and in accumulators against/with other selections.

We hope you enjoy the NFL betting and win your bets. Good luck!

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-American Football